The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Philadelphia Professional Hockey Club played 11 meaningful games this season. Philadelphia won 8 of those games.
Honestly, I’m not sure much more needs to be said.
There will be a predictable amount of emotional overreaction to the Pens first round playoff demolition and understandably so. The Pens got their rear ends kicked by their most hated rival and their execution and focus in the series was questionable at best (horrendous at worst).
I still believe the Penguins were the deepest and most talented team in the National Hockey League when the playoffs started. This was a team whose radar should have been locked on one goal, the Stanley Cup. A first round exit was completely unacceptable, no matter how unfair the seeds that forced the Pens to play Philly while New Jersey got Florida.
Which is to say that championship teams do not make excuses, they just get it done. I said this in my ill-fated predictions blog; if the Pens were truly a championship team they would overcome an unfortunate first round match-up. To say the least, they did not.
Which brings us right back to losing 8 of 11 meaningful games to Philly and the inevitable conclusion one must come to given that fact. Simply put, Philadelphia was better than the Penguins all year long. We can break down and micro-analyze the series 1,000 different ways. The overriding theme simply does not change.
That should not have been the case. Not with Pronger and Maszaros out of the line-up. Not with so many rookies having to play key minutes for the Orange and Black. Not with a goaltender who struggles to find peace in his sole and harmony with universe as much as he struggles with 30 foot wrist shots. The Penguins with this roster should have been better than Philly.
They were not; not even close.
Some of it may have been psychological a point I made in my last blog. It just seems that between the overriding animosity and Philly’s remarkable penitent for comebacks this season that they got inside the Penguins collective head. Anybody watching game 3 would conclude that the Penguins had completely lost their emotional focus.
Most of it however was physical and/or technical.
The Penguins had no answers for Claude Giroux who was far and away the best player in this series. Much of the credit for that goes to Giroux; the man just had an incredible series. They had no answers for the Philly power play which flat out annihilated a penalty killing unit that was amongst the league’s best for two years straight. Sean Coulturier got so close to Geno Malkin in this series, they could have shared the same pants.
I do not subscribe to the reactionary, fire the coach approach that many fans resort to after a bad loss. At the same time Dan Bylsma will have to answer some serious questions. At the top of the list, why have players like Giroux, Ovechkin, and Mike Cammalleri utilized the Penguins as a launching pad to historic post season performances in the last four years?
That of course is only part of the story.
I’ve never been more inspired by a Penguin team than I was late last season. Undermanned without their two superstars, the Pens battled and fought harder than they ever have, refusing to give up when every reasonable consideration said they should. It was ultimately futile, they simply could not overcome the talent disparity caused by their injuries, but they never quit. And they carried that same work ethic throughout this season, even with the added benefit of Malkin and James Neal at their best.
They continued to battle with passion, fury, and focus, right up to the moment that Crosby returned. And then something clearly and obviously changed. Almost to the day that 87 reentered the line-up, the Pens became a run and gun team trying to overwhelm everyone with superior offensive talent. From there until the final moments of yesterday’s game they never reined it in, never got back to playing the kind of hockey that wins in the post season.
I’m not blaming Crosby for this or even Crosby’s return. I still believe this team was not good enough without him to win the cup. I do believe the entire club let out a collective exhale when Crosby returned. It was almost like they felt they no longer needed that superior work ethic and structure to win hockey games. With a fully loaded roster they were finally just be better than everyone else.
That’s an approach that NEVER succeeds in the NHL post season. Crosby need only ask his landlord for confirmation. The last time a superior talented Penguin team tried to win on skill alone was 1993. The end result was the terrible, awful loss to the Islanders that should never be spoken of. I saw parallels to that team heading in to the post season and wrote about it in the aforementioned predictions blog. There was just something unnerving about how this club played down the stretch, especially against their rivals to the east.
I’m not sure how else you explain what may be the worst defensive and penalty killing performance I have ever seen in the post season. Marc-Andre Fleury will take a lot of blame for this series, and deservedly so but I’m not sure any goaltender could have survived behind this abomination of defensive hockey. Yes Philly is a talented offensive team but I’ll give you pretty good odds they don’t come close to this level of offensive production in their next series.
How else do you explain the complete breakdown of discipline in this series, most notably in game 3? The Penguins faced some ridiculous and irrational criticism as arrogant, cheap shot, whiners down the stretch, criticism that was pure fiction before this series. And then in stunning and embarrassing fashion they lived up to it in game 3.
The entire Penguin club needs to take a hard look at their effort, their focus, and their execution in light of that reality.
And yet with all that we should not forget this: the Penguins lost several games to Philly before Crosby’s return. They lost several games when their work ethic, focus, and defensive play was exactly where it should be. They lost several games when Fleury was on top of his game, Malkin was dominating the league and the club was playing tight defensive hockey.
Simply put, when it’s all said and done, the Philadelphia Professional Hockey club was just better than every incarnation of the Pittsburgh Penguins this year. I will understand if that causes severe intestinal disturbance to Penguin fans. Rest assured it does for me. It should cause similar or worse distress for the players. A legitimate Stanley Cup favorite was crushed in the first round by its most bitter rival. More than anything else, that should sting for a long time.
Monday, April 23, 2012
Thursday, April 12, 2012
A Brutal, Perspective Challenging Penguin Loss
A significant part of my maturation as a sports fan has been the development of what the more enlightened among us might call, “perspective.” Which is to say I’ve learned, with all due respect to Ilya Bryzgolav to view sports in the proper context of its overall importance to the universe.
To be clear, I’m not one who says you can’t be upset about sports simply because there are terrorists or starving people in the world. Those are horrible things; far worse than what happens on an any athletic field. At the same time if you love your teams and they are important to you, it’s okay to hurt after a difficult loss. Nowhere is it written that you cannot feel sadness simply because there is greater sadness in the world.
The difference between Adam 2012 versus say, Adam 1992 is how much I let those losses affect me. It took me days to shake off the horrible, awful, loss that should never be spoken of to the Islanders in 1993. Some would say I’m still not totally over it. In contrast, I was for the most part able to put the Steelers’ most recent Super Bowl loss behind me 24 hours later after a therapeutic lunch with Doug (Doug?).
I take great pride and comfort in my maturation and new found perspective on sports. No matter how bad a loss is, I like to get up the next day and move on with life. There are just too many other things that are FAR more important.
So I’ll be the first to admit, I’m more than a bit shaken by how much last night's Penguin loss is disturbing me. Honestly, I cannot remember a Pittsburgh sporting event that upset me this much since the Steelers lost the 2001 AFC Championship game at home to New England. The loss was the last thing I thought of before going to bed and the first thing I thought of when I woke up this morning. The former is okay for Adam 2012, the latter is much more Adam 1992.
Simply put, I cannot fathom a more brutal start to a playoff series than blowing a 3-0 lead at home, to your most bitter rival. Losing game 1 of a series is not that big a deal. Losing it in this fashion absolutely is. A game like this can feel like two losses in a best of seven series, given the magnitude of the emotional swing. And the most disconcerting thing, beyond the obvious, is that is the third time in a month the Pens have blown a 2 goal plus lead against the Eastern Pennsylvania Orange and Black Goon Squad.
There are a combination of factors driving the anger and frustration of me and most of the Penguin fan base this morning. One is the pattern, the fact that the Pens keep losing these games to Philly and keep losing them in the same way. They dominate early, and then Philly just takes the game away from them. This pattern includes an alarming disparity in special teams play. The Pens power play continues to blow opportunities to put games away and the Goon Squad is carving up their vaunted penalty killing unit with shocking ease.
The second factor is Philly’s shocking dominance at the New Energy Barn. It’s getting to the point where the Pens almost have home ice disadvantage. It’s bad enough for a team to have an unfettered belief in their ability to beat you. To have it in your barn is even worse. This is compounded by the fact that there was a Stanley Cup caliber atmosphere in the building last night. Word is the Goons were chanting “this is our house” after the game. Can any Penguin fan hear that and not be physically nauseous?
Finally there are expectations. Simply put, when a team has as much depth and talent as the Pens do the only reasonable expectation is the Stanley Cup. It’s just inconceivable that such a team could crash and burn like the Penguins did last night. To say it was not a championship caliber performance understates this issue. The real issue is that championship caliber teams rarely allow such thing to happen.
Throw all these factors together and you’ve got one seriously unhappy Habe this morning.
What bothers me the most is that the Penguins clearly took their foot off the gas with a three goal lead. The all-powerful, all knowing hockey savant Pierre McGuire pointed this out while the Pens were still leading by two goals. He made it clear that the Pens had gone in to a defensive shell; pulled back on their forecheck and stopped attacking. He also made it clear that this was happening, in his opinion, far too early.
Reasonable people can debate Mr. McGuire’s abilities as an announcer (or whether Brooks OrPECK should run him through the glass) but the man does know his hockey. And when he points something out that clear and obvious, moments before the house comes crashing down you have to take notice. This is not simply a factor of the Goons grabbing some momentum and turning the game around. This is about the Pens making what appears to be a disastrous strategic decision that could impact their entire season.
There are plenty of more micro issues to fret from last night’s game which I will not rehash here. The reality of hockey, or any sport, is that you can find good and bad in virtually every game, win or lose. Great teams balance this and find a way to win. When its all said and done, the Penguins had a tailor made opportunity to put the game away with an early third period power play and failed (a point I made to Emily just after it ended). As noted above that’s been a disturbing, season long trend against Philly. And the Pens cannot win this series unless they AT LEAST even this out.
My wife has reminded me repeatedly this morning that it is only one game. And she’s 1,000% right. We learned in 2009 that even after the worst of moments (game 5 in Detroit); a team can turn things around in spectacular fashion. That said, there is a disturbing quality to this loss. This is far more reminiscent to me of the Pens comeback in game 1 of the 1992 Stanley Cup finals against Chicago. The Hawks had won 11 straight playoff games coming in to that series. After that comeback win, the Pens just seemed to be inside their heads. The series was competitive after that but you never got the sense that the outcome was in doubt.
That’s what bothers me most. The Pens most hated and bitter rival seems to be very much in their heads. Championship teams begin with talent, but there is so much more to the equation. A big part of that is the mental edge; a a certainty of belief that you can overcome any obstacle and win any game. The Goon squad seems to have that belief right now, especially in regards to the Pens. And unless they turn things around quickly, meaning in game 2, I have concerns about whether the Pens can change that.
The Pens had Philly and their skittish goaltender on the ropes last night. In the span of 30 minutes they not only let them off but got knocked to the canvas themselves. That is a monumentAL emotional swing. If they are truly a championship team, they will dig deep and overcome. If they are not, it could be a stunningly short post season in the Burgh.
To be clear, I’m not one who says you can’t be upset about sports simply because there are terrorists or starving people in the world. Those are horrible things; far worse than what happens on an any athletic field. At the same time if you love your teams and they are important to you, it’s okay to hurt after a difficult loss. Nowhere is it written that you cannot feel sadness simply because there is greater sadness in the world.
The difference between Adam 2012 versus say, Adam 1992 is how much I let those losses affect me. It took me days to shake off the horrible, awful, loss that should never be spoken of to the Islanders in 1993. Some would say I’m still not totally over it. In contrast, I was for the most part able to put the Steelers’ most recent Super Bowl loss behind me 24 hours later after a therapeutic lunch with Doug (Doug?).
I take great pride and comfort in my maturation and new found perspective on sports. No matter how bad a loss is, I like to get up the next day and move on with life. There are just too many other things that are FAR more important.
So I’ll be the first to admit, I’m more than a bit shaken by how much last night's Penguin loss is disturbing me. Honestly, I cannot remember a Pittsburgh sporting event that upset me this much since the Steelers lost the 2001 AFC Championship game at home to New England. The loss was the last thing I thought of before going to bed and the first thing I thought of when I woke up this morning. The former is okay for Adam 2012, the latter is much more Adam 1992.
Simply put, I cannot fathom a more brutal start to a playoff series than blowing a 3-0 lead at home, to your most bitter rival. Losing game 1 of a series is not that big a deal. Losing it in this fashion absolutely is. A game like this can feel like two losses in a best of seven series, given the magnitude of the emotional swing. And the most disconcerting thing, beyond the obvious, is that is the third time in a month the Pens have blown a 2 goal plus lead against the Eastern Pennsylvania Orange and Black Goon Squad.
There are a combination of factors driving the anger and frustration of me and most of the Penguin fan base this morning. One is the pattern, the fact that the Pens keep losing these games to Philly and keep losing them in the same way. They dominate early, and then Philly just takes the game away from them. This pattern includes an alarming disparity in special teams play. The Pens power play continues to blow opportunities to put games away and the Goon Squad is carving up their vaunted penalty killing unit with shocking ease.
The second factor is Philly’s shocking dominance at the New Energy Barn. It’s getting to the point where the Pens almost have home ice disadvantage. It’s bad enough for a team to have an unfettered belief in their ability to beat you. To have it in your barn is even worse. This is compounded by the fact that there was a Stanley Cup caliber atmosphere in the building last night. Word is the Goons were chanting “this is our house” after the game. Can any Penguin fan hear that and not be physically nauseous?
Finally there are expectations. Simply put, when a team has as much depth and talent as the Pens do the only reasonable expectation is the Stanley Cup. It’s just inconceivable that such a team could crash and burn like the Penguins did last night. To say it was not a championship caliber performance understates this issue. The real issue is that championship caliber teams rarely allow such thing to happen.
Throw all these factors together and you’ve got one seriously unhappy Habe this morning.
What bothers me the most is that the Penguins clearly took their foot off the gas with a three goal lead. The all-powerful, all knowing hockey savant Pierre McGuire pointed this out while the Pens were still leading by two goals. He made it clear that the Pens had gone in to a defensive shell; pulled back on their forecheck and stopped attacking. He also made it clear that this was happening, in his opinion, far too early.
Reasonable people can debate Mr. McGuire’s abilities as an announcer (or whether Brooks OrPECK should run him through the glass) but the man does know his hockey. And when he points something out that clear and obvious, moments before the house comes crashing down you have to take notice. This is not simply a factor of the Goons grabbing some momentum and turning the game around. This is about the Pens making what appears to be a disastrous strategic decision that could impact their entire season.
There are plenty of more micro issues to fret from last night’s game which I will not rehash here. The reality of hockey, or any sport, is that you can find good and bad in virtually every game, win or lose. Great teams balance this and find a way to win. When its all said and done, the Penguins had a tailor made opportunity to put the game away with an early third period power play and failed (a point I made to Emily just after it ended). As noted above that’s been a disturbing, season long trend against Philly. And the Pens cannot win this series unless they AT LEAST even this out.
My wife has reminded me repeatedly this morning that it is only one game. And she’s 1,000% right. We learned in 2009 that even after the worst of moments (game 5 in Detroit); a team can turn things around in spectacular fashion. That said, there is a disturbing quality to this loss. This is far more reminiscent to me of the Pens comeback in game 1 of the 1992 Stanley Cup finals against Chicago. The Hawks had won 11 straight playoff games coming in to that series. After that comeback win, the Pens just seemed to be inside their heads. The series was competitive after that but you never got the sense that the outcome was in doubt.
That’s what bothers me most. The Pens most hated and bitter rival seems to be very much in their heads. Championship teams begin with talent, but there is so much more to the equation. A big part of that is the mental edge; a a certainty of belief that you can overcome any obstacle and win any game. The Goon squad seems to have that belief right now, especially in regards to the Pens. And unless they turn things around quickly, meaning in game 2, I have concerns about whether the Pens can change that.
The Pens had Philly and their skittish goaltender on the ropes last night. In the span of 30 minutes they not only let them off but got knocked to the canvas themselves. That is a monumentAL emotional swing. If they are truly a championship team, they will dig deep and overcome. If they are not, it could be a stunningly short post season in the Burgh.
Tuesday, April 10, 2012
A TRAVESTY OF SEEDS…FIRST ROUND NHL PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS
It’s been 13 seasons since the NHL converted to a conference style playoff format, with guaranteed top 3 seeds for division winners. I’m a huge fan of the conference format; but the latter stipulation has caused a fair bit of controversy over the years. This year it has made a flat-out mockery of post season match-ups.
At the crux of this injustice are the Pittsburgh Penguins; owners of the NHL’s 4th best record overall. Their reward for such excellence, an opening round match-up with the team finishing 5th. In a system that made any sense at all this match-up would not occur until AT LEAST the second round. Honestly this is the most ridiculous miscarriage of post season justice since…three months ago when a 12-4 Steeler team was forced to play on the road against 8-8 Denver.
And such is life.
Champions do not make excuses; champions just find a way to win. If the Penguins are truly championship caliber, they will overcome what is an unfortunate break of seeding. If they are not, they will not. Consider that the Pens got a huge break two years ago, facing two inferior opponents in Ottawa and Montreal. They lost in the second round anyway because the 2009-10 Penguins were not playing at a championship level.
Here is the straight dirt for hockey fans; there is no team in the NHL that is deeper or more talented than your Pittsburgh Penguins. The top three center group of Malkin, Crosby, and Staal is far and away the best in the NHL. For the first time since 2008 (the first cup year), the Pens have enough quality scoring wingers to compliment both Crosby and Malkin. The team has an elite goaltender in Marc-Andre Fleury, a Norris Trophy caliber defensemen in Kris Letang and a solid if unspectacular group of D-men around him.
If this team plays to its full capabilities, nobody should be able to beat them. Not even a deep and talented Goon Squad that has given them problems all season long. Keep in mind that I have not even mentioned the intangible qualities which are Stanley Cup experience (including Coach Dan Byslma), and a hunger built on two consecutive post season flame outs.
A first round match-up against a bitter rival can be a mixed blessing. This is obviously the most difficult first round match-up in this year’s playoffs. That will force the Pens to be at their best from game 1 on with little margin for error. A series against Ottawa would obviously be easier than dealing with Claude Giroux, Bozo the Hartnell, Mr. Universe (Ilya Bryzgolav) and the man Penguin fans love to hate, Jaromir Jagr. And it could get brutally physical at times which is a concern for subsequent series.
At the same time, the Penguins parlayed a first round victory over Philly in 2009 to a Stanley Cup championship. And rest assured there was no less bitterness and hatred between the teams then, no matter how ugly things got two weeks ago.
Playoff analysts (including me) like to critique match-ups, rate strengths and weaknesses, and come up with clever insights as to who will win a series. Well I’m not doing that here because there is no point. The Pens are the best team in the league if they want to be. That means if they play with the requisite heart, grit, determination, physicality and intelligence necessary in the post season. It means showing that immeasurable determination that championship hockey teams possess.
If the Pens do all that they will win this series. If they try and win on talent alone, as they did at times down the stretch, they will replicate the horrible, awful loss that is never spoken of to the Islanders in 1993.
I’m betting on the former; as is my beautiful wife Emily…Pens in 6.
As for my remaining picks I find myself in a painful situation. Namely I’m picking no fewer than five teams that I hate to win their first round series. My wife in contrast sticks to her guns and backs only teams she likes. Here’s hoping her predictions blow mine away. Historically speaking, they likely will. Both are noted below.
HENRICK LUNDQVIST (1) VS OTTAWA SENATORS (8)
Why New York will win in 6 games (Adam and Emily)
Both teams are trending in the wrong direction at season’s end and John Torterella is popping off about arrogant organizations and conspiracies. The Rangers are ripe to be upset, but Ottawa just is not the team to do it. In case you have any doubt say this to yourself ten times…Lundqvist versus Craig Anderson. Besides, Jason Spezza is Joe Thornton soft come playoff time and the Rangers actually have a few guys who can score this year.
BOSTON BRUINS (2) VS WASHINGTON CRAPITALS (7)
Why Washington will win in 7 games (picked with GREAT RELUCTANCE by Adam)
The Craps played up to their moniker all season long and were in serious danger of missing the post season ten days ago. Alas, playing in a dreadful division doth have its perks and thus Washington stayed alive. Now suddenly Nicklas Backstrom is back, Ovie is on fire, and the Craps are peaking at the perfect time.
The Bruins in contrast are trending very much the wrong direction. They started the season in brilliant fashion, seemingly determined to defeat the dreaded Stanley Cup hangover. Somewhere along the way however the hangover caught up (a la Chicago and Pittsburgh the last two years). The B’s just have not been that good in the second half of the season. They rely too much on Tim Thomas who seems to be wearing down. Injuries may prevent Thomas from having to pump either Michael Neuvirth or Tomas Vokun’s tires; but I foresee some bizarre 2009 Varlomov reprisal if Braden Holtby is in nets for Washington.
Why Boston will in 7 games (Emily)
Because Thomas has enough money to pay his cab fare even if Peggy won’t get him a new credit card. And the closest Ovechkin will ever get to the Stanly Cup is X Box.
FLORIDA PANTHERS (3) VS NEW JERSEY DEVILS (6)
Why New Jersey will win (Adam, 6 games, Emily 5)
Because somebody has to.
Prop bet for the series; higher number, total goals scored or total television viewers? The only excitement for me is how long it takes Kevin Dineen to yank Jose Theordore after publically declaring him “the man” in goal. This series is a hockey travesty and a singular case study for blowing up the current seed structure.
BOBBY LU AND THE FREAK TWINS (1) VS LOS ANGELES KINGS (8)
Why Vancouver will win in 6 games (Adam)
Because your typical World Cup soccer match features more goals than the LA Kings score for Vezina candidate Jonathan Quick. If the Kings had any offense, ANY, I would say an upset is possible. Alas, given their struggles and Jeff Carter’s annual foot injury I cannot see it happening. Besides, Vancouver's abudant nightlife will likely consume a fair amount of Carter and Mike Richards' free time. The Slash and Run Pansies are going down…just not here.
Why Los Angeles will win in 7 games (Emily)
No self-respecting Blackhawks fan (or any true NHL hockey fan) thinks that Vancouver will win. Ever! And even a terrible team can score goals when Roberto Luongo is flailing at pucks from his stomach.
ST. LOUIS BLUES (2) VS SAN JOSE SHARKS (7)
Why St. Louis will win in 5 games (Adam)
Because Ken Hitchcock is back behind the bench, fighting with all his might to drag the NHL back to the dead puck era. The Blues have done so much damage to offensive hockey that noted goaltending sieve Brian Elliott allowed barely 1.50 goals per game this year. Brian Elliott. Seriously. And the Sharks, who usually wait until the post season to choke, appeared to pack it in for the season about two months ago.
Why San Jose will win in 6 games (Emily)
Antti Niemi is her favorite goalie of all-time. The Blues play a ridiculously cheesy opening video at their home games, their fans do a dorky power play dance, and they openly condone hand-to-hand violence against opposing-team’s mascots. Antti Niemi is tried, true, and tested. I can’t stand the grinding style of play that St. Louis utilizes – no team should ever be able to win a playoff series playing like that. Also, St. Louis has minimal playoff experience. By the way, did I mention how much she likes Antti Niemi?
THE HOCKY TEAM FORMERLY KNOWN AS THE WINNIPEG JETS (3) VS CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS (6)
Why the Hawks will win in 7 (Adam)
The Hawks are deeper and more talented and that is without Jonathan Toews who appears likely to return. Keep in mind that in spite of the seeds, the Hawks finished 4 points ahead of Phoenix during the season. I’m a little uneasy with Corey Crawford between the pipes but he’s been stronger of late. And Mike Smith reminds me way to much of his current goalie coach Sean Burke, invincible in March, invisible in April.
Why the Hawks will win in 5 (Emily)…DUH (cue Chelsea Dagger)!
NASHVILLE PREDATORS (4) VS DETROIT DEAD WINGS (5)
Why Detroit will win in 7
(Adam)
This will unnerve the Pekka Rinne admiration society going on around the NHL but I see this series much as I see the Hawks and Yotes. I expect Nashville to battle like crazy…and lose. Great talent beats hard work when great talent is willing to work hard. I think Detroit will do just that. Bad break for Nashville, another team that deserved a better first round match-up than the league’s ridiculous seeding policy gave them.
(Emily)
Hatred of hockey teams south of the Mason Dixon line > Hatred of Detroit…though just barely.
At the crux of this injustice are the Pittsburgh Penguins; owners of the NHL’s 4th best record overall. Their reward for such excellence, an opening round match-up with the team finishing 5th. In a system that made any sense at all this match-up would not occur until AT LEAST the second round. Honestly this is the most ridiculous miscarriage of post season justice since…three months ago when a 12-4 Steeler team was forced to play on the road against 8-8 Denver.
And such is life.
Champions do not make excuses; champions just find a way to win. If the Penguins are truly championship caliber, they will overcome what is an unfortunate break of seeding. If they are not, they will not. Consider that the Pens got a huge break two years ago, facing two inferior opponents in Ottawa and Montreal. They lost in the second round anyway because the 2009-10 Penguins were not playing at a championship level.
Here is the straight dirt for hockey fans; there is no team in the NHL that is deeper or more talented than your Pittsburgh Penguins. The top three center group of Malkin, Crosby, and Staal is far and away the best in the NHL. For the first time since 2008 (the first cup year), the Pens have enough quality scoring wingers to compliment both Crosby and Malkin. The team has an elite goaltender in Marc-Andre Fleury, a Norris Trophy caliber defensemen in Kris Letang and a solid if unspectacular group of D-men around him.
If this team plays to its full capabilities, nobody should be able to beat them. Not even a deep and talented Goon Squad that has given them problems all season long. Keep in mind that I have not even mentioned the intangible qualities which are Stanley Cup experience (including Coach Dan Byslma), and a hunger built on two consecutive post season flame outs.
A first round match-up against a bitter rival can be a mixed blessing. This is obviously the most difficult first round match-up in this year’s playoffs. That will force the Pens to be at their best from game 1 on with little margin for error. A series against Ottawa would obviously be easier than dealing with Claude Giroux, Bozo the Hartnell, Mr. Universe (Ilya Bryzgolav) and the man Penguin fans love to hate, Jaromir Jagr. And it could get brutally physical at times which is a concern for subsequent series.
At the same time, the Penguins parlayed a first round victory over Philly in 2009 to a Stanley Cup championship. And rest assured there was no less bitterness and hatred between the teams then, no matter how ugly things got two weeks ago.
Playoff analysts (including me) like to critique match-ups, rate strengths and weaknesses, and come up with clever insights as to who will win a series. Well I’m not doing that here because there is no point. The Pens are the best team in the league if they want to be. That means if they play with the requisite heart, grit, determination, physicality and intelligence necessary in the post season. It means showing that immeasurable determination that championship hockey teams possess.
If the Pens do all that they will win this series. If they try and win on talent alone, as they did at times down the stretch, they will replicate the horrible, awful loss that is never spoken of to the Islanders in 1993.
I’m betting on the former; as is my beautiful wife Emily…Pens in 6.
As for my remaining picks I find myself in a painful situation. Namely I’m picking no fewer than five teams that I hate to win their first round series. My wife in contrast sticks to her guns and backs only teams she likes. Here’s hoping her predictions blow mine away. Historically speaking, they likely will. Both are noted below.
HENRICK LUNDQVIST (1) VS OTTAWA SENATORS (8)
Why New York will win in 6 games (Adam and Emily)
Both teams are trending in the wrong direction at season’s end and John Torterella is popping off about arrogant organizations and conspiracies. The Rangers are ripe to be upset, but Ottawa just is not the team to do it. In case you have any doubt say this to yourself ten times…Lundqvist versus Craig Anderson. Besides, Jason Spezza is Joe Thornton soft come playoff time and the Rangers actually have a few guys who can score this year.
BOSTON BRUINS (2) VS WASHINGTON CRAPITALS (7)
Why Washington will win in 7 games (picked with GREAT RELUCTANCE by Adam)
The Craps played up to their moniker all season long and were in serious danger of missing the post season ten days ago. Alas, playing in a dreadful division doth have its perks and thus Washington stayed alive. Now suddenly Nicklas Backstrom is back, Ovie is on fire, and the Craps are peaking at the perfect time.
The Bruins in contrast are trending very much the wrong direction. They started the season in brilliant fashion, seemingly determined to defeat the dreaded Stanley Cup hangover. Somewhere along the way however the hangover caught up (a la Chicago and Pittsburgh the last two years). The B’s just have not been that good in the second half of the season. They rely too much on Tim Thomas who seems to be wearing down. Injuries may prevent Thomas from having to pump either Michael Neuvirth or Tomas Vokun’s tires; but I foresee some bizarre 2009 Varlomov reprisal if Braden Holtby is in nets for Washington.
Why Boston will in 7 games (Emily)
Because Thomas has enough money to pay his cab fare even if Peggy won’t get him a new credit card. And the closest Ovechkin will ever get to the Stanly Cup is X Box.
FLORIDA PANTHERS (3) VS NEW JERSEY DEVILS (6)
Why New Jersey will win (Adam, 6 games, Emily 5)
Because somebody has to.
Prop bet for the series; higher number, total goals scored or total television viewers? The only excitement for me is how long it takes Kevin Dineen to yank Jose Theordore after publically declaring him “the man” in goal. This series is a hockey travesty and a singular case study for blowing up the current seed structure.
BOBBY LU AND THE FREAK TWINS (1) VS LOS ANGELES KINGS (8)
Why Vancouver will win in 6 games (Adam)
Because your typical World Cup soccer match features more goals than the LA Kings score for Vezina candidate Jonathan Quick. If the Kings had any offense, ANY, I would say an upset is possible. Alas, given their struggles and Jeff Carter’s annual foot injury I cannot see it happening. Besides, Vancouver's abudant nightlife will likely consume a fair amount of Carter and Mike Richards' free time. The Slash and Run Pansies are going down…just not here.
Why Los Angeles will win in 7 games (Emily)
No self-respecting Blackhawks fan (or any true NHL hockey fan) thinks that Vancouver will win. Ever! And even a terrible team can score goals when Roberto Luongo is flailing at pucks from his stomach.
ST. LOUIS BLUES (2) VS SAN JOSE SHARKS (7)
Why St. Louis will win in 5 games (Adam)
Because Ken Hitchcock is back behind the bench, fighting with all his might to drag the NHL back to the dead puck era. The Blues have done so much damage to offensive hockey that noted goaltending sieve Brian Elliott allowed barely 1.50 goals per game this year. Brian Elliott. Seriously. And the Sharks, who usually wait until the post season to choke, appeared to pack it in for the season about two months ago.
Why San Jose will win in 6 games (Emily)
Antti Niemi is her favorite goalie of all-time. The Blues play a ridiculously cheesy opening video at their home games, their fans do a dorky power play dance, and they openly condone hand-to-hand violence against opposing-team’s mascots. Antti Niemi is tried, true, and tested. I can’t stand the grinding style of play that St. Louis utilizes – no team should ever be able to win a playoff series playing like that. Also, St. Louis has minimal playoff experience. By the way, did I mention how much she likes Antti Niemi?
THE HOCKY TEAM FORMERLY KNOWN AS THE WINNIPEG JETS (3) VS CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS (6)
Why the Hawks will win in 7 (Adam)
The Hawks are deeper and more talented and that is without Jonathan Toews who appears likely to return. Keep in mind that in spite of the seeds, the Hawks finished 4 points ahead of Phoenix during the season. I’m a little uneasy with Corey Crawford between the pipes but he’s been stronger of late. And Mike Smith reminds me way to much of his current goalie coach Sean Burke, invincible in March, invisible in April.
Why the Hawks will win in 5 (Emily)…DUH (cue Chelsea Dagger)!
NASHVILLE PREDATORS (4) VS DETROIT DEAD WINGS (5)
Why Detroit will win in 7
(Adam)
This will unnerve the Pekka Rinne admiration society going on around the NHL but I see this series much as I see the Hawks and Yotes. I expect Nashville to battle like crazy…and lose. Great talent beats hard work when great talent is willing to work hard. I think Detroit will do just that. Bad break for Nashville, another team that deserved a better first round match-up than the league’s ridiculous seeding policy gave them.
(Emily)
Hatred of hockey teams south of the Mason Dixon line > Hatred of Detroit…though just barely.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)